Noisy newsletter

The world is being quietly rearranged by people who write very long documents.

10,572 documents ingested · 97 worth reading

All Regulatory Research Development Energy
May 2026
NBER · May 1 Separations Revisited: Do Layoffs or Quits Drive Lower Separation Rates in High-Quality Firms? Good companies fire fewer people, not because people quit less
NBER · May 1 Breaking the Early Bell: Lessons from the First Statewide Mandate on School Start Times California admits teens just aren't morning people
NBER · May 1 Building Opportunity: The Intergenerational Effects of Chilean School Construction Building schools in poor towns helps children and their children, for decades
NBER · May 1 Labor Market Effects of California’s $20 Fast-Food Minimum Wage California's $20 fast-food wage did not cut jobs, but it did cut worker turnover
NBER · May 1 The Persistence of Power: How Family Origins Shape Political Representation and Policy Children of the wealthy still dominate US politics, even after economic shocks
NBER · May 1 Authority Figures and the Polarization of Gender Norms Female mentors make women more liberal, men more conservative
NBS · Apr 16 2026年1—3月份全国固定资产投资增长1.7% China’s private money is quietly exiting
NBER · May 1 The Effects of School Phone Bans: National Evidence from Lockable Pouches Locking up student phones doesn't make them smarter, just happier
NBER · May 1 Mosaics of Predictability Fifty years of data just broke the random walk theory.
NBER · May 1 Taxes and Financial Distress: Evidence from Establishment-Level Data Corporate taxes mostly hurt the businesses that can't move
NBER · May 1 Automation, Learning, and Career Dynamics Cheaper automation officially becomes a trap for workers who cannot learn new skills fast enough
NBS · Apr 30 2025年农民工监测调查报告 Coastal factories lose their endless supply of inland labor
arXiv · Apr 17 Agentic AI and Occupational Displacement: A Multi-Regional Task Exposure Analysis of Emerging Labor Market Disruption You will be out of work by 2030
BIS · Mar 12 A public-private partnership? Central bank funding and credit supply Central banks can stimulate the economy with money no one takes
NBER · Apr 17 The Empathy Channel in Fertility People have babies when they see babies, not when they get a tax break
April 2026
arXiv · Apr 14 Unifying Ontology Construction and Semantic Alignment for Deterministic Enterprise Reasoning at Scale AI can now build its own filing system to read the data companies pay to ignore.
NBER · Apr 1 Profit Regulation and Strategic Transfer Pricing by Vertically Integrated Firms: Evidence from Health Care Insurers used their own pharmacies to bypass Medicare profit caps
NBER · Apr 1 Why Do Americans No Longer Work So Much More Than Non-Americans? Americans worked more than Europeans because of health insurance forms, not values
NBER · Mar 1 Early-Life Sugar Restrictions Reduce Genetic Disparities in Adult Adiposity Genetic obesity risk loses its "fixed sentence" status
NBS · Mar 16 2026年1—2月份全国固定资产投资同比增长1.8% China reports 1.8% investment growth. Private investment is down 2.6%.
NBS · Mar 16 2026年1—2月份全国房地产市场基本情况 Homebuyers officially resign as China's primary creditors
NBER · Apr 1 Thinking versus Doing: Cognitive Capacity, Decision Making and Medical Diagnosis Same patient, same doctor, 28% more likely admitted when the doctor is overwhelmed
NBER · Mar 1 Cash Transfers and Productive Inclusion: Evidence from Bolsa Familia Giving poor people money helps get them jobs
NBER · Mar 1 In the Fed’s Mind US central bank sees inflation differently based on its cause
NBER · Apr 1 Climate Change, Deforestation, and the Expansion of the Global Agricultural Frontier Heat shocks kill crops, farmers clear forests instead of adapting — and it's getting worse
arXiv · Mar 30 Ruka-v2: Tendon Driven Open-Source Dexterous Hand with Wrist and Abduction for Robot Learning $1300 open source robot hands
arXiv · Mar 30 "Oops! ChatGPT is Temporarily Unavailable!": A Diary Study on Knowledge Workers' Experiences of LLM Withdrawal Workers given four days without AI discover they forgot how to work
arXiv · Apr 6 Automatic Textbook Formalization AI formalized a graduate math textbook in one week for less than it costs to hire one expert
arXiv · Mar 30 Development of a European Union Time-Indexed Reference Dataset for Assessing the Performance of Signal Detection Methods in Pharmacovigilance using a Large Language Model Europeans can finally test drug safety alerts against "real" timelines
arXiv · Mar 30 The Competence Shadow: Theory and Bounds of AI Assistance in Safety Engineering AI safety tools are causing engineers to stop thinking, and the math now proves it makes things worse
March 2026
arXiv · Mar 30 Advancing AI Trustworthiness Through Patient Simulation: Risk Assessment of Conversational Agents for Antidepressant Selection Healthcare AI builds fake patients, for some reason