Virginia's birth control access program cut birth rates by 3%, but only where options were already high
What happened
Virginia made it easier to get certain types of birth control. This led to a small drop in birth rates in those areas.
Why it matters
Governments often assume that simply making a service more available will lead to big changes. This paper shows that if people already have good options, adding more might not move the needle much. It means future programs need to understand existing access levels before expecting large impacts.
The signal
Watch if other states planning similar initiatives first measure existing contraceptive access in their target areas.