Experts agree AI is coming fast. They disagree on what it will do to jobs.

A new paper surveyed experts and the public about AI's economic effects. It found that while everyone expects AI to advance quickly, they disagree on how much it will change jobs and overall growth. These groups also have very different ideas about what governments should do.

Governments and businesses need to plan for AI's impact on jobs and growth. This paper shows that even experts cannot agree on what those impacts will be, or what policies would help. This makes it hard to make concrete plans, as different groups want different solutions, from worker retraining to universal basic income.