The world is being quietly rearranged by people who write very long documents.


The title they went with Predicted Incrementality by Experimentation (PIE) for Ad Measurement Noisy translates that to

Ad buyers can now measure campaign success without running expensive tests


A new method lets advertisers predict how well a campaign will work without running a full experiment. This means they can measure ad effectiveness for many more campaigns, not just a few expensive ones.
For years, the only reliable way to know if an ad campaign actually worked was to run a costly, time-consuming experiment. This meant most campaigns went unmeasured, or relied on less accurate methods. This new approach allows advertisers to apply the lessons from a few experiments to many more campaigns, making ad spending more accountable across the board.
Watch whether major ad platforms or large advertisers start integrating this predictive method into their standard measurement tools over the next 12-24 months.

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