The pool of stable partners for non-college women just shrank by half
What happened
The number of economically stable men without college degrees available for marriage has fallen by more than half. This means women without college degrees now have far fewer potential partners who earn above the national median.
Why it matters
For decades, the assumption was that women's rising education levels would primarily affect their own marriage choices. This paper shows that college-educated women are increasingly marrying men without college degrees who are still economically stable. This shift, combined with the overall economic decline of non-college men, means women without college degrees now face a drastically smaller pool of potential partners.
The signal
The question is whether marriage rates for non-college women continue to fall, or if local economic improvements for non-college men start to reverse this trend.