Local governments can double their tax income from roads, even if the central government doesn't break even
What happened
The World Bank measured how new roads affect local tax collection in Rwanda. It turns out, local governments collect twice as much tax revenue within five years of a road upgrade.
Why it matters
Governments often struggle to justify infrastructure spending because the benefits are hard to measure directly in cash. This paper gives local governments a clear, measurable financial return on investment. It means they can fund more projects, knowing they will see a direct boost to their budgets.
The signal
Watch whether development banks start using local tax revenue projections to justify road funding in other countries.