The world is being quietly rearranged by people who write very long documents.


The title they went with The Domestic Political Economy of War: Evidence from Russia Noisy translates that to

Russia's war strategy: ethnic identity buys support, others pay in casualties


A new study shows Russia's war strategy in Ukraine is not about resources or external threats. It is about ethnic identity. Provinces with more ethnic Russians show higher support for President Putin, while regions with fewer ethnic Russians bear more battlefield casualties.
Analysts debated Russia's motives in Ukraine for years. Was it about resources? Geopolitical power? This paper shows the domestic political logic is far more cynical. The regime uses ethnic identity to rally support at home. It sends soldiers from other regions to die.
Watch for shifts in Russian recruitment patterns or how state media frames casualties from different regions.

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